By Owen Lewis
First, defending champion Novak Djokovic retired in the fourth round while down two sets and a break to Stan Wawrinka. Then, Roger Federer and his aching back lost a five-setter to Grigor Dimitrov, a player he had never lost to. Rafael Nadal became the overwhelming favorite to win the 2019 U.S. Open. With his greatest rivals out, talk turned to: “Who can beat Rafa?”
Daniil Medvedev had an answer- almost.
Medvedev, after a brilliant summer on the American hard courts that saw him win the title in Cincinnati and reach two finals, looked tired in his early-round matches. He dropped a set in each round save the first round and the semifinals. But once top-ranked Djokovic, who Medvedev was projected to play in the quarterfinals, dropped out, the 23-year-old Russian’s draw opened up. There is nothing spectacular about Medvedev’s game- he specializes in consistency and making his opponent uncomfortable. Yet, this technique of “winning ugly” led him through a four-set semifinal win over three-time Grand Slam champion Stan Wawrinka, and into a clash with Nadal for the U.S. Open title.
Nadal, for his part, ripped through the draw, dropping just one set to Marin Cilic on his way to the final. He was heavily favored to dismiss Medvedev (10 years his junior), most likely in three or four sets. The match to follow surprised many, delivering fully on drama, quality, and competitiveness.
Serving first, Nadal, a 33-year-old Spaniard and 18-time Grand Slam champion, opened with some spectacular shots- including an extremely rare around-the-net winner on the second point of the match. Crucially, though, he was handed a time violation in the very first game. Medvedev was the first to draw blood, breaking the Nadal serve in the third game to grab a 2-1 lead. The more experienced Nadal leads the tour in “break-back percentage”, and quickly evened the match at two games all. The set then went with serve for several games, including a big hold from Medvedev at 4-4 in which he saved three break points. There was no denying Nadal in the opening set, though, and with the Russian serving at 5-6 and 15-30, Nadal polished off an extended rally with an inside-out forehand winner. The Spaniard converted his second set point to win the first set 7-5.
The second set followed a similar pattern to the first. Medvedev had a break point in Nadal’s first service game of the set, but it went begging when the Russian missed a regulation backhand. Medvedev held from love-40 down when serving at 1-2, but wasn’t able to capitalize on the potential momentum shift- Nadal broke in his next service game for a 4-2 lead. The rest of the set went with serve- Nadal served out the set despite falling behind 15-30 while 5-3 up.
The match caught fire in the third set. At first it seemed that Nadal was on course for a comfortable straight-set win when he grabbed an early break, but the tide of the match dramatically shifted in the sixth game of the set. Serving at 3-2, the Spaniard fought off a couple break points, but made a costly miss at deuce. After a long rally, Nadal had a chance to put away a seemingly simple overhead at the net, but pushed it wide. Medvedev then quickly converted the break point when Nadal hit a backhand long. With Medvedev serving at 4-all, Nadal had two more break points that would have set him up to serve for the match, but the Russian saved both, with Nadal missing an overhead from the baseline on one of them. Nadal successfully served to save the set at 4-5 down, but at the second time of asking it was too much as Medvedev played a spectacular return game. The 23-year-old grabbed a 0-30 lead with some strong rallying, then crushed a forehand winner down the line to earn three set points. Nadal pulled back to 15-40, but Medvedev drilled an inside-out backhand winner on the second set point to win the third set 7-5. His celebration was muted- a discreet yell to his box. He knew how much work still had to be done.
With new belief flowing through Medvedev’s veins, it felt like a new match. Nadal was starting to look a bit more vulnerable and the Russian’s level had lifted considerably. Serving at 0-1, Nadal fell behind 30-40, but was let off the hook when his younger opponent netted a backhand. At 2-2, Nadal had two break points of his own, but was unable to convert either. Several easy holds followed, and the drama of the set climaxed with Nadal serving to keep the set alive at 4-5. It appeared that the Spaniard was on his way to an easy hold when he took a 40-15 lead, but a makeable forehand found the net before Medvedev hit a splendid forehand passing shot to force deuce. After another unforced error from the racket of Nadal, Medvedev had a set point to even the match, and he took his chance with some absolute brilliance. Nadal got in a strong first serve wide to Medvedev’s backhand. Watching the match on TV, I saw the Russian move to his left, correctly predicting the direction of the serve. When the serve landed, I figured “oh, it was such a good serve that it won’t matter”. Medvedev had other ideas: from maybe ten feet behind the baseline and ten feet wide of the sideline, he conjured up a preposterous return that flew past Nadal, who had been charging to the net, and bit into the corner of the court for a clean winner. He reacted with a mild fist-pump and the match was dragged kicking and screaming into a fifth set.
The fifth set was probably the highest quality of the match. With all the momentum on his side, Medvedev held comfortably to take a 1-0 lead, then went up 15-40 on Nadal’s serve, putting his opponent under the gun right at the opening of the deciding set. Nadal is one of the most clutch players of all time, and saved both break points in style. A poor volley from the Spaniard handed Medvedev a third chance, though, and when toeing the line to serve, Nadal was handed a second time violation, costing him his first serve for that point. Unfazed, the world No. 2 spun in a serve and followed it up with a viciously angled inside-out forehand that Medvedev couldn’t put back into the court. From there, Nadal closed out the hold for 1-1. The drama then eased briefly in the form of an easy hold for each player. It appeared that Medvedev was on course for another simple hold when he went up 40-love at 2-all, but the Spaniard dug in and forced deuce, then earned a break point. Medvedev saved it nervelessly with an ace out wide, but Nadal quickly earned another chance. A scintillating rally followed, ending when Nadal chased down a drop shot and pasted a backhand winner past Medvedev. With a seemingly crucial break in hand, the 18-time major champion held to 15 to take a 4-2 lead.
Nadal continued his onslaught in Medvedev’s next service game. At 30-all, the Spaniard flicked a delicate forehand drop shot for a winner. On the potentially decisive break point, Medvedev missed an overhead to hand his opponent a double break lead. The drama, however, was far from over. Serving at 5-2, Nadal took a 15-love lead when he ran down a Medvedev drop shot and whipped it down the line for a winner. At 15-all, one of the best rallies of the match ensued. After some exceptional defense by Nadal, his grittiness was rewarded when Medvedev missed a short forehand. The effort seemed to take something out of Nadal, though, and he lost the next two points. On break point, he was hit with another time violation, costing him the first serve. The Spaniard hit his serve long, dropping his serve for the first time in the set.
Medvedev, serving to stay in the match at 3-5, was quickly under pressure at 15-30. He pulled back to 30-all, but Nadal flew to the net and hit a short drop volley for a winner. Down championship point, the Russian showed incredible nerve, blasting a big serve and putting away an inside-out backhand winner. Facing a second match point, he spun in a 98 mph second serve that Nadal was unable to put back into the court. From there, Medvedev held, and finally allowed a big celebration to surface, gesturing to the crowd to get behind him.
Having been broken once already when serving for the match, and having missed two championship points, all the pressure was on Nadal to put away the match. He seemed tight early in the game, going behind 15-30 and facing a perilous break point at 30-40. As he has done so many times in his career, though, Nadal summoned his best tennis on the most crucial of points, and fired an inside-out forehand that forced an error from Medvedev. At deuce, Nadal quickly hit a drop shot early in the rally, and the Russian was unable to reach the short-bouncing ball. With his third championship point in hand, but his first on serve, Rafael Nadal blasted a serve up the middle, and fell flat on his back when Medvedev’s return landed past the baseline.
Now to address the seemingly immortal question: which man will end up with the most Grand Slams? Currently, Roger Federer sits atop the leaderboard at 20, Novak Djokovic has 16, and winning this U.S. Open puts Nadal in a fine position at 19. The Spaniard has an excellent chance to level the all-time men’s record next year at his favorite slam, the French Open. Djokovic, assuming he comes back healthy from his shoulder injury, will surely be in contention at several slams next year. Nadal and Djokovic are slowly but surely tracking down Federer’s standard, and the Swiss great may have to win at least one slam next year to keep his record out of reach for a bit longer.